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On July 20, following the German PV giant SolarWorld (hereinafter referred to as Solar World) to launch an anti-dumping complaint against China, accusing the Chinese manufacturers of dumping photovoltaic cells, the Ministry of Commerce began a formal "double-reverse" investigation of US and Korean polysilicon. It is said that this is a landmark event in the history of China's PV development. Whether the "double-reverse" case filed by the Ministry of Commerce can bring about a turning point for the domestic companies caught in the "cold winter" is not known. Due to the conflict of interests between upstream and downstream, Chinese PV companies have shown different attitudes towards this incident. The Ministry of Commerce initiated the "double-reverse" investigation. On July 20, the Ministry of Commerce announced that it should import solar energy originating in the United States at the request of Jiangsu Zhongneng Silicon Industry, Jiangxi Saiwei LDK, Luoyang Zhongsi and Daxin Energy. Polysilicon products were investigated for "double anti-" (anti-dumping, counter-subsidy), and anti-dumping investigations were conducted on imported solar-grade polysilicon products originating in South Korea. Among the four companies, Zhongneng Silicon has barely maintained its sales price above the cost line, while Jiangxi LDK has faced huge debts. Can the “double-reverse†filing of the Ministry of Commerce bring a turn for the domestic companies caught in the industry crisis? According to the Ministry of Commerce, both surveys began on July 20, 2012. The survey should normally be completed by July 20, 2013. In special cases, it can be extended to January 20, 2014. This means that the results of the survey will not come out at least a year later. However, for the entire polysilicon industry that is in deep crisis, it seems that “the water can't save the fireâ€. An industry insider said that the current case will not have any impact on the industry. Zhang Shuai, an analyst at Guojin Securities, pointed out in his analysis report that the incident was more of a statement and counterattack by domestic enterprises and the government on the "US double-anti-China photovoltaic cell" at the beginning of the year, and the potential for "European double-reverse" To the warning role. Responding to two voices, a polysilicon trader who asked not to be named, said in an interview: "The prices of their products are simply too low. Domestic products simply don't dare to sell this price, so a little There is no competitive advantage in the children's market. Currently, US polysilicon products are priced at around $24/kg. For the “cabbage price†sold by foreign products, Chinese polysilicon manufacturers have endured for a long time. Polysilicon producers are in a hurry, and there is another voice inside the Chinese PV industry. According to informed sources, some PV downstream enterprises in China are worried that China's imports of polysilicon enterprises will reduce the import of polysilicon, affecting the supply of raw materials in the short term, resulting in an increase in their own production costs, which will be blocked by various means. "We should look at this issue in a longer-term perspective," said Gao Hongling, deputy secretary general of the China Photovoltaic Industry Alliance. On the day of the “double-reverse†investigation, the Photovoltaic Power Generation Alliance, composed of Trina Solar, Suntech Power, Yingli Green Energy, and Artes Solar Power, issued a statement stating that it opposes any form of trade protection and hopes to resolve differences through dialogue. On July 24, the relevant company executives who participated in the polysilicon “double-reverse†investigation admitted in an interview that “the current situation is caused by conflicts of interest†and “hope that domestic PV companies can uniteâ€. "We oppose any form of trade barriers and trade protectionism, whether it is Europe, the United States, or Japan. This industry has developed to today, relying on internationalization, free trade, and fair competition." Zhang Jianmin, director of public relations at Wuxi Suntech, told reporters. At the same time, the above-mentioned alliance stressed that “it is imperative that important players in the global solar energy field can adopt a constructive attitude, communicate and cooperate, resolve differences and disputes through dialogue, and realize free trade, fair competition and cooperation in the global solar energy field. Win.†Zhang Jianmin also said that dialogue may be the best way at present. The Cheap Solar Energy Alliance (CASE), which consists of some polysilicon companies in the United States, has opposed seven US PV cell manufacturers headed by the solar world to apply to the US government, which called for a peaceful settlement of disputes. In response to China’s “double-reverse†investigation, CASE President Jigar Shah responded: “It is counterproductive to impose tariffs on any point in the global solar value chain, which will only make solar energy lose competitiveness in the face of fossil fuels.†Causes of interest “domestic There are conflicts of interest between upstream and downstream PV companies, but this conflict is short-term and consistent in the long run,†said industry insiders. At present, downstream enterprises report to relevant state departments through internal reporting before the case is filed, and their objections are concentrated on the high pollution and poor quality of the domestic polysilicon industry. Moreover, the above-mentioned downstream enterprises pointed out that restricting the import of polysilicon will cause the supply of domestic polysilicon raw materials to be tight, the price will rise, and the cost of photovoltaic enterprises will rise, which will increase the burden. In addition, Chinese PV companies have business-related agreements with US companies such as MEMC in the import of raw materials and components, that is, the use of corresponding imported raw materials in the components of the export, and the components are sold to the affiliates of the polysilicon importers. If polysilicon cannot be imported, it will lose such a linked order and lose this part of the market. This has to mention the "double-reverse" investigation of photovoltaic modules in the United States last year, when CASE has been working against the "double-reverse" investigation. The domestic component manufacturers and the US polysilicon companies have a close cooperative relationship. When China's polysilicon enterprises put forward a "double-reverse" investigation, the reaction of Chinese component manufacturers may be seen here. Commenting on "Bao Tuan" is conducive to development. Some opinions point out that some PV downstream enterprises have only considered their own local interests and have not taken care of the overall situation of China's solar photovoltaic industry chain. They have not seen the need to protect as a photovoltaic foundation in the long-term development process. The polysilicon industry must see the essence of foreign dumping in order to destroy China's polysilicon industry and shake the foundation of the development of the photovoltaic industry. In fact, China's component manufacturers have previously caused a large number of PV modules to be backlogged in European ports because of the malicious price reduction in front of foreign customers and domestic counterparts. Finally, the components were forced to be processed at low prices in China. In the low point of the photovoltaic industry, Chinese companies should be united, which is more conducive to the development of the entire industry. However, even if the “subsidy or dumping†behavior of Korean and American companies is confirmed, the price of polysilicon rebounds and some overseas competitors are affected. The small and medium-sized companies in China have a short breathing time and are facing challenges.