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In the past year, China's machine tool industry has achieved rapid development under the circumstances that the domestic and international economic situation is booming. Although the overall growth rate has slightly declined, the growth momentum is still strong. It is estimated that the national machine tool industry in 2006 will be the total. The output value reached 160 billion, an increase of 22% year-on-year. The export of various machine tool products has increased significantly, especially CNC machine tools have increased by nearly 30%. Imports also showed rapid growth. In 2006, metal processing machine tools imported about 7 billion US dollars, a record high. The flourishing situation of the machine tool industry shows that the three major driving forces of investment, consumption and import and export trade of China's national economy in the first year of the national “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†are powerfully driven by the machine tool industry, and also the machine tool industry. Substantial progress in innovation, development, adjustment and restructuring.
First, China's machine tool industry is currently showing remarkable features 1. The first group army, the so-called leader company and many other companies in the technology, scale, brand distance is significantly larger, forming a strong competition with world-renowned enterprises A true pillar enterprise. The scale of these enterprises has established a leading position in the industry with different varieties, and the gap with the world's advanced level has been further reduced. In the Jinchee industry, such as Shenyang Machine Tool and Dalian Machine Tool, its total sales have reached 7 billion. In the next two years, it will enter 10 billion enterprises. These enterprises will expand their scale through market means in cross-regional development and even transnational development. Improve the source of technology and innovation ability; in the forging industry, such as Ji Er, Jin Fangyuan, Yawei and other enterprises, the technical level of its products has been similar or equivalent to the international advanced level; in the tool industry, volume, quantity, Hanzhong tools Both products have reached the world's advanced level, and the market share has increased significantly.
2. The market of machine tool products has been continuously developed, which has attracted the attention of investors from all sides. The machine tool industry is not only a basic and strategic industry, but also an industry with good investment returns and brand development. Foreign capital and domestic capital, including some companies that have achieved results in other fields, are crowded into the machine tool industry. At present, there are thousands of emerging companies in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong provinces operating in the whole machine or functional components. After investigation, most of these enterprises are small. Sales range from millions to tens of millions of yuan. For the general, medium and low-level, sales to meet the needs of the geographical range. Some private and foreign-funded enterprises have begun to acquire medium and large-scale machine tool enterprises with high level and brand awareness in the central and western regions, such as Wanxiang Group, Xinrui Group and Haitian Group. The new construction, restructuring, restructuring and development momentum of the machine tool industry started in the early 21st century has entered a peak in the past two years.
3. The development of some large, sophisticated, sophisticated and high-tech products is accelerating, and the development cycle and industrialization cycle are gradually shortened. The development cycle of new products is only 2 to 3 months, and only one high-precision and major equipment is available. From year to year and a half, the newly developed product has already reached the level of goods when it is “offlineâ€. The design, process, assembly and corresponding software have the ability to produce. Reliability has been fully considered in design and process. Set the target. Therefore, in recent years, the new products of China's machine tool industry have been developed according to market needs, according to user requirements, complete and reliable production. Now it is an insurmountable gap to develop a new high-level CNC machine tool for China's machine tool industry.
4. The social supporting capability of China's machine tool industry has been greatly improved, and various basic functional components have a relatively complete system. From the situation reflected in Shandong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong and other regions, the number of machine tool accessories and functional parts manufacturers in these four provinces has reached 3,000 to 4,000. There are thousands of varieties and specifications for production, from the main axis. The servo motor has all kinds of protection, lubrication, tool magazine and knife sleeve. The improvement of social support has promoted the development of the whole machine industry. The fierce competition has also promoted the improvement of product quality and level to a certain extent, and promoted the research and development of new products. However, in general, there are many labor-intensive supporting products. Repeated, crossover, technology-intensive features are few and slow to develop, and some important functional components, such as linear motors, tool magazines, and high-speed spindles, still need to be strengthened or improved.
5. The enterprise composition of China's machine tool industry is still dominated by the joint-stock companies developed by the former state-owned large-scale backbone enterprises. It still dominates the technology and remains in the mainstream position in the market, but some private enterprises have already occupied the medium and low-end products. A certain proportion, foreign-funded enterprises are still auxiliary forces. Of course, in some technology-intensive high-tech supporting functional components, joint ventures or foreign-funded enterprises occupy a controlling position, which has certain constraints on the overall development of China's machine tool industry.
II. Demand Analysis of China's Machine Tool Market in 2007 1. The world economic situation will improve and the total equipment production and demand will increase. According to the analysis of the recent economic reports of the three major economies of the United States, Japan, and the European Union, the US economy will change from a rebound in 2006 to a high-speed growth, with growth of 3% to 5%. Japan has also experienced a period of weakness. The recovery period of people has shown positive growth for many years, ranging from 2% to 3%; the EU will also have a growth of around 3%.
2. Domestic demand will not weaken. Judging from several elements of market development in 2006, these factors will not weaken in 2007. From the perspective of various major markets, the sales volume of important models such as cars and heavy-duty vehicles has gradually expanded from east to west. Individual car purchases have become mainstream, followed by military and other demand will not slow down. In the fields of aviation and weapons, in 2007, The transformation will continue to increase, equipment demand will further expand, and private enterprises will further penetrate into manufacturing and light industry. The improvement of their technical level and processing capacity depends on the improvement of their equipment.
3. New market highlights will continue to emerge. According to the situation already known, as this year will enter the peak of the “Eleventh Five-Year†implementation period, the national key projects, key projects and key tasks will be fully rolled out, and the market demand will show a high growth, which will further stimulate the technological transformation of enterprises. And device updates. The major projects initiated and continued in recent years include the manufacture of generator sets on the right bank of the Three Gorges, the comprehensive start of the middle section of the West-East Gas Pipeline and the introduction of various provinces and municipalities along the route, the South-to-North Water Transfer Project, Beijing, Shanghai, Wuhan, Tianjin, Chongqing, Changsha, etc. Large and medium-sized cities such as subways, light rail projects, large fertilizers, large air separation, and west-to-east transmission will bring market demand to related industries, and these industries will directly or indirectly increase the market share of the machine tool industry.
Third, the characteristics and key points of the machine tool product market in 2007 1. The demand characteristics of the car as the representative. First of all, the flexible production line and complete sets of equipment consisting of CNC machine tools will become one of the key points. The characteristics of these production lines are as follows: First, the high speed, the spindle speed is generally 8000 ~ 120O0r / min, the feed rate is high, generally 60 ~ 80m / min, The tool change is fast, generally 1~2s; the second is high reliability. The MTBF is generally 800-900h; the third is good set. These flexible wires not only require good fixtures and tools, but also good process software and control software. Fourth, high precision is required, and the consistency of product processing is good. In 2007, the machine tool products in the fields of entering the automobile and other fields should be more flexible processing to ensure the diversification of automobile products; the complete set of technology to ensure the scale of automobile products.
2. Demand characteristics represented by key large equipment. High-tech and large-scale special equipment represented by aviation, aerospace, power generation, shipbuilding, metallurgy and heavy machinery have become the focus of the second aspect. These devices tend to have higher unit prices, special requirements, and greater difficulty. However, from the perspective of the total demand in the country, it has great advantages, accounting for more than 1/3 of the machine tool market. In particular, the demand for CNC gantry milling, CNC floor raking, and large-scale five-face processing equipment is large, and China's production capacity cannot meet this sudden growth demand.
3. The demand characteristics represented by the processing of molds, weapons and other products. The processing equipment of multi-coordinate, high-precision and complex surface represented by the processing of products such as mold weapons is the third demand point. These equipments are mainly machining centers, turning centers, copy milling, forming mills, etc. with four coordinate linkages. These devices are characterized by special software functions and complex supporting technologies, which often affect the level of the whole machine. In addition, in order to improve the quality and scale efficiency of the stamping parts of various molds as the mother body, various numerical control presses will increase slightly compared with last year.
4. The characteristics of demand are represented by the private enterprise group. The purchase of simple CNC machine tools represented by the private enterprise groups emerging from Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong has become the fourth hot spot of demand. According to statistics, in 2007, private enterprises and family-integrated technology enterprises in the above-mentioned areas required more than 36,000 simple CNC machine tools and other numerical control equipment. These devices are characterized by low price, special functions and easy operation, but these enterprises The equipment is updated at a faster rate and is a market with continuous development and great potential. In short, there will be no major changes in the demand for the machine tool market in 2007, but there are several major features:
1. The demand and output of ordinary machine tools are showing a downward trend;
2. Management can't keep up, quality papers leak, service gaps, fund gaps, etc.;
3. If the new production capacity is not rewarded and the national policy is weakened (the government's policy orientation is also likely to be adjusted), the machine tool market will be saturated or suddenly falling.
4. Suggestions for the development of the machine tool industry 1. Do not blindly increase production capacity. The key to the level of the machine tool industry itself depends on the improvement of innovation ability, personnel quality and corporate quality. In recent years, some reforms and restructurings have had some initial results, which are hard to come by. In the face of increasing market demand, we must still look at the market and seek development steadily. We must grasp the front and the post (ie, grasp development, grasp sales, grasp quality, and grasp services) and carefully grasp the ability. In order to become a manufacturing market, not a processing market, the machine tool industry should also treat this issue correctly.
2. Pay great attention to quality and service. The machine tool industry is the first industry to propose a quality commitment statement. When the market improves, we pay more attention to quality and service, and we are more thoughtful and enthusiastic about users. A company's brand is often established when the market is good. It is often lost in a good period of the market. 2007 should be the quality year and service year for the machine tool industry.
3. We must continue to explore new service areas and expand exports. When the market is good, we are likely to open up new areas. It is recommended that enterprises in the machine tool industry should take advantage of technology and manufacturing, not just product advantages. We not only need to be a user's craftsman, but also an incubator of new technologies, and constantly promote new developments in the industry.
In 2007, China's machine tool industry will enter a period of steady and more rational development.