Shenzhen house prices rose slightly in April

The National Bureau of Statistics released today "Changes in residential sales prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities in April."

However, the rise in house prices is declining. Compared with the same month last year, there were 52 cities that saw a drop in the price increase of newly built commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities, an increase of 6 from March.

Shenzhen is not among the 52 cities. In April, the price of newly built commercial housing in Shenzhen rose by 0.7% month-on-month and rose by 3.1% year-on-year; second-hand residential prices rose by 0.5% month-on-month and rose by 4.1% year-on-year.

Statistics show that compared with last month, among 70 large and medium-sized cities, 9 cities have fallen prices and 5 cities have remained flat. The month-on-month price increases were all less than 1% in April, and there were 26 cities that saw a decrease compared with March.

Compared with the same month last year, of the 70 large and medium-sized cities, there were 3 cities with falling prices, an increase from March. In April, there were 29 cities with a year-on-year price increase within 5%, an increase of 3 from March. Among them, Urumqi rose 9.3%, ranking first; Hangzhou, with a negative 1.2%, ranked first in house price decline.

The data also shows that the growth rate of first-tier cities is declining, and Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen's house price growth in April did not exceed 1%.

The changes in second-hand housing prices released at the same time also show that the impact of China's housing market regulation on house prices has already appeared. Compared with the previous month, of the 70 large and medium-sized cities, 16 cities had lower prices and 13 cities had flat prices.

Compared with March, there were an increase of three cities in April, where prices fell and prices were flat. The chain price increase did not exceed 1.0%.

Housing prices in second- and third-tier cities are still rising

Property prices are suspected of being "reduced" in April

The National Bureau of Statistics released data on house prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities across the country on April 18, and the month-on-month price increases of newly built commercial and second-hand housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities in April did not exceed 1%.

The above data can be interpreted from three perspectives: from the first-tier cities, the chain increase has increased, and it remains to be seen; from the second- and third-tier cities, many cities still have a faster year-on-year growth trend, and need to be vigilant; from statistics In terms of structure, the increase in “newly built residential housing prices” is significantly smaller than that of “newly built residential housing”. In association with the previously announced house price control targets for this year, house prices in some cities may be “statistically lowered” due to changes in the transaction structure.

First, in terms of first-tier cities, in April, Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen's first-tier cities and other first-tier cities had a month-on-month composite index of 100.45, and the prices of newly-built commercial housing increased by 0.45% from March, and the growth rate increased by 0.32 percentage points from March. The price of newly built commercial housing rose significantly.

Secondly, in the second and third tier cities, many cities still see a relatively rapid increase in housing prices. From January to April, among the 70 cities, the prices of newly-built commercial housing increased by more than 5% year-on-year, 44, 45, 42 and 38, respectively, were second and third tier cities; although the number decreased month by month, but the Compared with the first-tier cities, they are still "increasingly compelling." In April, Dandong led the gains with an 11.3% increase, while Jilin, ranked fifth, also gained 8.5%.

Housing prices in individual cities have kept rising at a high rate for months. For example, from January to April, Dandong's newly-built commercial housing rose year-on-year by 12.3%, 14.3%, 15.4%, and 11.3%, respectively. It has ranked first among 70 cities for three consecutive months since February. In fact, in second- and third-tier cities, the growth rate has been everywhere for more than two digits for months.

Third, in terms of statistical structure, compared with "newly built commercial housing", the increase in "newly built housing" in April was much more moderate.

In the house price control targets announced throughout the year, the meaning of "house price" is different, including "newly built commercial housing", "newly built residential" and even "newly constructed commercial housing" (in addition to residential, including commercial properties). For example, in addition to newly built commercial housing, “newly built housing” also includes various affordable housings with low prices and small fluctuations, such as relocation housing and price-limited housing. As the latter type of housing accelerates and supplies, the transaction structure of the property market will change significantly. As a result, the average price of "newly built housing" will be significantly lowered, and its increase will also be "effectively controlled" "unsurprisingly." But at the same time, the buyer's feelings may be very different from the statistics.

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